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Beyond Markets podcast

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Beyond Markets

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  Julius Baer  

“Beyond Markets” by Julius Baer is a series featuring conversations with experts to share recent market developments, key insights, and strategic inputs from around the globe. In each episode, we cut through the noise to offer practical advice and macro research on today’s shifting economic and market landscape. The information contained in this podcast is marketing material. Opinions expressed do not constitute independent financial/investment research, investment advice, or an offer to buy or sell securities by Julius Baer. Please refer to www.juliusbaer.com/legal/podcasts for important legal information prior to listening to this podcast.

“Beyond Markets” by Julius Baer is a series featuring conversations with experts to share recent market developments, key insights, and strategic inputs from around the globe. In each episode, we cut through the noise to offer practical advice and macro research on today’s shifting economic and market landscape. The information contained in this podcast is marketing material. Opinions expressed do not constitute independent financial/investment research, investment advice, or an offer to buy or sell securities by Julius Baer. Please refer to www.juliusbaer.com/legal/podcasts for important legal information prior to listening to this podcast.

 

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#239

The drill down on oil

The oil market has remained surprisingly calm despite the recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. What are the dynamics at play here? And looking ahead, how might the oil and gas industry evolve as we head into a new era of energy transition and electric vehicles? In this episode, Norbert Ruecker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research speaks to Pearlyn Wong, Investment Content and Campaigns Asia, on his latest insights on the oil market. ... Read more

26 Apr 2024

09 MINS

09:55

26 Apr 2024

#238

The rise and rise of gold

As gold prices hit record highs, we are joined in the studio by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, and Chris Irwin, Head of FX and Precious Metals Trading Asia, to discuss the causes and consequences of the metal’s remarkable rally. ... Read more

24 Apr 2024

15 MINS

15:14

24 Apr 2024

#237

The Week in Markets: Plenty to stay positive about, despite turbulence in Tech

The most likely trajectory for the Middle East is that things de-escalate. World economic growth looks set to accelerate, meaning inflation could remain sticky. We look for rate cuts in September, November and December, and for treasury yields to come down a little bit. Technology stocks are sensitive to the slightest negatives, but a strong economy still suggests a positive outlook for earnings growth this year. This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer. Middle East, oil, economic growth, inflation, rate cuts, treasury yields, technology stocks, earnings growth. ... Read more

22 Apr 2024

12 MINS

12:49

22 Apr 2024

#236

Semiconductors and the future of AI

The significant innovation in the semiconductor industry over the years has undoubtedly enabled the huge advances in artificial intelligence. But where do we go from here? Will more efficient and better performing chips be enough to satisfy the requirements of AI models?  In this episode, Helen Freer, Investment Writer, talks to Luca Menozzi, Next Generation Analyst, about what the transition to a new era in computing architecture might mean for the future of AI. 01:14 Has innovation in the semiconductor industry enabled the advances in AI?02:45 What is Moore’s law?03:38 What’s the scope for chips to shrink further?04:41 Why do some industry experts believe that Moore’s law is dead?05:53 Will the advances be enough to satisfy the requirements of AI models?06:39 Are bottlenecks expected that might hinder the future growth of AI?07:42 Who is buying the chips?08:24 Is the demand for semiconductors set to increase?09:24 Conclusions Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts. ... Read more

19 Apr 2024

12 MINS

12:37

19 Apr 2024

#235

The Week in Markets: Inflation and geo-politics

The S&P’s performance after “shock events” shows, unsurprisingly, that the ones that caused no damage to the economy had the least impact on the market, and vice versa. The oil price is steady post Iranian attacks on Israel, suggesting the latter this time. While the Yom Kippur War and Oil Embargo of 1973 strike parallels with today, the global economy is less than half as reliant on oil as it was then. There are many other suppliers apart from the Middle East, and no one is talking about an embargo today. March CPI inflation at 3.5% year/year has caused concerns that inflation is beginning to trend higher again. But the culprits driving it (auto insurance and rents) are likely to come down. This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer. ... Read more

15 Apr 2024

15 MINS

15:25

15 Apr 2024

#234

In Conversation with GROW - April 2024 Edition

In this monthly China update, our experts analyze the recent depreciation of the Chinese Yuan, the impact of potential quantitative easing on the Chinese economy, how to look at the Chinese EV sector against the backdrop of a volatile Sino-US relationship, and also why Gold continues to surge. This episode is presented by Richard Tang, China Strategist and Head Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer with Hong Hao, Partner and Chief Economist at GROW Investment Group, and was recorded on 8 April, 2024. ... Read more

09 Apr 2024

28 MINS

28:12

09 Apr 2024

#233

The Week in Markets: Crunch time starts with results season this week

In this episode, we take a look at how equity markets today shape up against the peaks seen at the start of 2022. We also examine investor positioning, and if it’s a good time to buy Japanese stocks. This episode is presented by Kelly Chia (Deputy Head of Research, Asia). ... Read more

08 Apr 2024

06 MINS

06:12

08 Apr 2024

#232

How we Manage Money: Asset Allocation

When it comes to building your investment portfolio, asset allocation is key. For Julius Baer Chief Investment Officer Yves Bonzon, finding an asset allocation breakdown that meets your individual needs and that you can withstand, even in the case of extreme shocks, makes all the difference.    In the second episode of our How we Manage Money series, Yves Bonzon explains the do’s and don’ts of portfolio construction, the difference between strategic and tactical asset allocation, and how investors can build a truly diversified portfolio that won’t keep them up at night. ... Read more

04 Apr 2024

17 MINS

17:28

04 Apr 2024

#231

The Week in Markets: Short breather before Q2 results

In this episode, we talk about the numbers 21 and 8599 on top of a review of what happened in March, and what we can look forward to in April.This episode is presented by Kelly Chia (Deputy Head of Research, Asia). ... Read more

02 Apr 2024

08 MINS

08:02

02 Apr 2024

#230

Women and wealth: the era of growth

Whether it's those who are working in finance or those who are making their own way as investors, women are building confidence – and portfolios. Explore the investment strategies that women have, why stereotypes of how they manage wealth are outdated, their risk appetites, and more. The Beyond Markets Podcast is joined by Mayssa Scheib, Intermediaries Relationship Manager with Julius Baer. ... Read more

28 Mar 2024

14 MINS

14:51

28 Mar 2024

#229

Equity sectors and segments – what do we favour?

With many stock market indices having hit record highs in the first quarter of 2024, it is timely to look at some of the factors our analysts take into account when selecting their preferred stocks. Besides looking at the development of individual companies, it is also important to join the dots and see what the important drivers are in different sectors and subsectors. So, what has our attention currently?  In this episode of the Beyond Markets podcast, Bernadette Anderko, Investment Writer, talks to Philipp Lienhardt, Head of Equity Research, about how his team approaches the process of stock selection, what sectors they favour currently and the subsectors that are set to offer good investment opportunities in the coming months. 00:53 Stock selection – our process 02:30 Background – the big picture      04:29 Why we are approaching the time for a style reversal 05:18 Why we still prefer US stocks versus European stocks 06:28 Our preferred sectors (Communications/IT) 07:54 Why we don’t believe that there is an IT bubble 08:59 Why we like the Healthcare sector and some specific segments 10:27 Subsectors where we see value 12:05 Consumer defensives – it pays to be defensive 12:54 Our stance on luxury goods 13:20 Our stance on European financials 14:02 Looking forwards and considering US elections Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts. ... Read more

27 Mar 2024

17 MINS

17:17

27 Mar 2024

#228

The Week in Markets - Taking stock after a busy week of central bank action

In this episode, we examine the recent central bank actions and review the asset market moves. In particular, we discuss our latest views on two popular funding currencies - the Japanese Yen and the Swiss Franc, how to think about the Japanese equity market if the Yen does appreciate, and why we should stick to quality stocks in the US. This episode is presented by Richard Tang, China Strategist and Head of Research Hong Kong at Bank Julius Baer. ... Read more

26 Mar 2024

08 MINS

08:57

26 Mar 2024

#227

Bitcoin halving – what does it mean?

Bitcoin has been getting plenty of attention so far this year and with the halving expected in around a month’s time, that is not expected to change. In this episode of the Beyond Markets podcast, Helen Freer, Investment Writer, talks to Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, about how the halving will work and what it means for the blockchain’s dynamics. Please note that this podcast is for educational purposes only and does not represent a recommendation of any kind with regard to Bitcoin or other digital assets. 01:24 What has been happening with regard to Bitcoin so far this year?02:24 What is the Bitcoin halving and why is relevant? 03:56 The implications of the Bitcoin halving for mining operations05:40 How should Bitcoin mining companies be viewed in light of the Bitcoin halving? 06:36 Is past performance an indicator of future performance? 07:37 What can we expect for the Bitcoin market and broader digital asset markets now as result of the halving?  08:35 What does the Bitcoin supply schedule look like going forward? 10:11 What is the current state of demand versus supply?10:34 Conclusions Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts. ... Read more

22 Mar 2024

12 MINS

12:59

22 Mar 2024

#226

The Week in Markets - Break-outs in emerging markets, Japan wage growth highest since 1991

A sequential rise in February core inflation is not cause for concern, as it is due to “residual seasonality”, an auto insurance outlier, and residential real estate which will come down. The S&P 500 index’s positive return in each of the last four months is something that only happened 16 times before; on average after those times, it returned 16% to the end of the year. There is a break-out in the downward trend of the Chinese stock market, and the gradient is turning positive in several economic data series there. Japan’s wages will be 5.3% higher than last year, the largest increase since 1991. We look for the Bank of Japan to raise the policy rate from -0.1% to 0.2% a year from now.   This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer. ... Read more

19 Mar 2024

11 MINS

11:59

19 Mar 2024

#225

Why are we still positive on Japanese stocks?

In this episode, we talk about why we are still positive on Japanese stocks despite key indices retreating from all-time highs. This episode is presented by Cheng Hin Saw, Head of Equities Specialists Asia, and Kelly Chia, Deputy Head of Research Asia. ... Read more

18 Mar 2024

14 MINS

14:59

18 Mar 2024

#224

Small but deadly: is antimicrobial resistance the next big health crisis

In this Next Generation episode of Beyond Markets Damien Ng, Next Generation Research Analyst at Julius Baer, and Laurenz Kellenberger, Chief Scientific Officer at Basilea, join us to discuss antimicrobial resistance, its causes, and its potentially devastating consequences. ... Read more

14 Mar 2024

25 MINS

25:32

14 Mar 2024

#223

The Week in Markets - The end of deflation in Japan

Employment data suggests slower wage inflation and overall inflation ahead, and therefore lower interest rates. The S&P is up 26% since its interim low in October 2023, the same return as all of 2021, but in a third the time. A change pf key personnel at the US State Department may signify a change in policy. A cease-fire in Ukraine would be a real positive for Europe, and would also mean lower energy prices, a win for President Biden. Government and central bank sources in Japan are leaking that a policy change is afoot. If union-management wage negotiations for this year show a rise equivalent or more than last year’s, it would be the excuse the Bank of Japan needs to end quantitative easing, and raise interest rates. Even if the yen goes up 5% vs. dollar over the next 12 months (which is our forecast), it will still be one of the most competitive currencies in the world.   This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer. ... Read more

12 Mar 2024

13 MINS

13:20

12 Mar 2024

#222

How we Manage Money: Core Investment Beliefs

Managing money successfully is more than just avoiding mistakes. For Julius Baer Chief Investment Officer Yves Bonzon, it comes down to having a solid investment approach built on core investment beliefs that provide a framework. This allows us to make investment decisions in a disciplined way and not based on the twists and turns of the market.   In the first episode of our How we Manage Money series, Yves Bonzon joins journalist Hannah Wise to discuss this framework including how it helps us manage risks, spot and mitigate an incoming crisis, and incorporate the key forces driving the markets.   ... Read more

11 Mar 2024

17 MINS

17:05

11 Mar 2024

#221

In Conversation with GROW - March 2024 Edition

In this monthly China update, our experts discuss top of mind issues including takeaways from the National People’s Congress, the role of quantitative funds in China and the outlook for the Hong Kong property market.   This episode is presented by Richard Tang, China Strategist and Head Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer with Hong Hao, Partner and Chief Economist at GROW Investment Group. ... Read more

08 Mar 2024

24 MINS

24:58

08 Mar 2024