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<a href="https://www.walrus.xyz/">Walrus</a>
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The prediction market meta is piping hot and everyone wants a piece of the pie.
In this episode of Unchained, 10x Research founder Markus breaks down what the competition boils down to. Plus, will other platforms follow Polymarket's lead and launch a token?
He also walks through a “near certain” trade nestled in Polymarket and shares 10 strategies that can be used to trade prediction markets without an opinion. 
One key nugget: “It's the wisdom within the crowd.”

Guest:
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<a href="https://x.com/markus10x">Markus Thielen</a>, CEO of 10x Research
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Previous appearance on Unchained:
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<a href="https://youtu.be/Fg-D8GJi0W4?si=xi4DGDab65_RpSDG">How to Invest in This Bitcoin Downtrend: Bits + Bips</a>
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Links
Unchained:
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<a href="https://unchainedcrypto.com/paradigm-claims-polymarket-trading-figures-are-double-counted/">Paradigm Claims Polymarket Trading Figures Are Double Counted</a>
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<a href="https://unchainedcrypto.com/polymarket-opens-us-app-to-waitlisted-users/">Polymarket Opens US App to Waitlisted Users</a>
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<a href="https://unchainedcrypto.com/intercontinental-exchange-to-invest-2-billion-in-polymarket/">Intercontinental Exchange to Invest $2 Billion in Polymarket</a>
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<a href="https://unchainedcrypto.com/crypto-com-and-kalshi-lead-prediction-market-coalition-setup/">Crypto.com and Kalshi Lead Prediction Market Coalition Setup</a>
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<a href="https://unchainedcrypto.com/kalshi-hits-11b-valuation-after-1b-raise-report/">Kalshi Hits $11B Valuation After $1B Raise: Report</a>
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Timestamps:
🚀 00:00 Introduction 
💡 3:07 Why Markus says prediction market adoption is still in its infancy
👀 6:23 Are speculators abandoning bitcoin for prediction markets?
🧏 8:10 How trading prediction markets differ from crypto markets
⚖️ 11:48 How Polymarket and Kalshi compare in strengths and weaknesses
⚡️ 15:12 Why Markus thinks Polymarket and Kalshi are likely to remain the dominant players 
📝 19:15 What traders should consider when choosing a prediction market platform 
💥 23:05 How the POLY Airdrop could give Polymarket an edge
⁉️ 26:39 Will other prediction markets launch a token?
💡 33:19 How risks in trading prediction markets differ from crypto markets
🧠 36:31 Markus walks through a “near certain” Bitcoin trade paying 63% annualized
🤯 39:58 Strategies to trade prediction markets without having an opinion
❕️ 51:48 Why Markus avoids “moon shot” trades
⚠️ 54:11 How to trade by finding “wisdom within the crowd”
🤺 1:00:17 How prediction markets enable hedging against real world outcomes
📃 1:02:34 Final thoughts on how traders should approach prediction markets
 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

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How to Trade Prediction Markets Without an Opinion on the Event - Ep. 979

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