Most of us chase goals — starting a business, running a marathon, getting a promotion — without ever asking: What are the actual odds this will work?My guest today says those odds aren’t just graspable — they’re hackable.Kyle Austin Young is a strategy consultant and the author of <a href="https://amzn.to/4iYttYe" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Success Is a Numbers Game</a>. He argues that every goal comes with a hidden probability of success or failure, and by thinking strategically — rather than just hoping for the best — you can tilt the odds in your favor.In the first part of our conversation, Kyle explains the three common ways people pursue goals and their potential downsides. We then unpack how to approach your goals through probability hacking. We discuss how to spot the weak links in your plan, how to map out a “success diagram” that helps you avoid common pitfalls and pursue goals more intelligently, and how to use these same principles to know when you should quit a goal.Resources Related to the Podcast<ul><li><a href="https://www.artofmanliness.com/character/advice/how-to-make-better-decisions/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">AoM Podcast #387: Think Like a Poker Player to Make Better Decisions</a></li><li><a href="https://www.artofmanliness.com/character/advice/how-to-make-better-decisions/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">AoM Podcast #</a><a href="https://www.artofmanliness.com/character/behavior/podcast-840-when-to-quit/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">840: When to Quit</a></li><li><a href="https://www.artofmanliness.com/character/advice/how-to-make-better-decisions/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">AoM Podcast #</a><a href="https://www.artofmanliness.com/character/behavior/podcast-490-can-you-learn-to-be-lucky/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">490: Can You Learn to Be Lucky?</a></li></ul>Connect With Kyle Austin Young<ul><li><a href="https://kyleaustinyoung.com/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Kyle's website</a></li><li><a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/kyleaustinyoung" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Kyle on LinkedIn</a></li></ul>See Privacy Policy at <a href="https://art19.com/privacy" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://art19.com/privacy</a> and California Privacy Notice at <a href="https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info</a>.

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