(0:00) Nate Silver joins the pod! (10:02) California's ballot counting problem: Raman's late-mail surge, ballot harvesting claims, and why the US counts slower than India (25:18) Democrats' three-way civil war: The left, the abundance libs, and Newsom's "resistance lib" base (34:48) The winning 2028 playbook: Anti-oligarch messaging, why young men want control, and immigrants fleeing the Dems (45:48) How algorithmic social media entrenches polarization: Elon's X, filter bubbles, and the death of the chronological feed (50:01) 2026 midterm predictions: 85-90% Dem House takeover, Senate toss-up, and the Iran/gas price wildcard (55:20) Newsom is collapsing in polls: Nate's 2028 Dem bet is AOC Thanks to our partners! Northwest Registered Agent — Starting a business? Northwest Registered Agent gives you everything you need to build a complete Business Identity including free tools and built-in privacy. Get more at <a href= "http://northwestregisteredagent.com/ALLINFREE">northwestregisteredagent.com/ALLINFREE</a> PLAUD — If your work depends on conversations — meetings, deal flow, interviews, customer calls — Plaud helps you capture and organize everything with highly accurate AI-generated notes that are not just simple summaries, but also highlight pain points, key decisions, next steps, and customizable summary templates. Check out Plaud at <a href="http://plaud.ai/allin">Plaud.ai/allin</a> and use code ALLIN for up to 20% off! Which is also available on Amazon: <a href= "https://amzn.to/43URLff">https://amzn.to/43URLff</a> (Code: ALLIN20X) Follow Nate: <a href= "https://x.com/NateSilver538">https://x.com/NateSilver538</a> Follow the besties: <a href="https://x.com/chamath">https://x.com/chamath</a> <a href="https://x.com/Jason">https://x.com/Jason</a> <a href= "https://x.com/DavidSacks">https://x.com/DavidSacks</a> <a href= "https://x.com/friedberg">https://x.com/friedberg</a> Follow on X: <a href= "https://x.com/theallinpod">https://x.com/theallinpod</a> Follow on Instagram: <a href= "https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod">https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod</a> Follow on TikTok: <a href= "https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod">https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod</a> Follow on LinkedIn: <a href= "https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod">https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod</a> Intro Music Credit: <a href="https://rb.gy/tppkzl">https://rb.gy/tppkzl</a> <a href= "https://x.com/yung_spielburg">https://x.com/yung_spielburg</a> Intro Video Credit: <a href= "https://x.com/TheZachEffect">https://x.com/TheZachEffect</a>

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Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading & AOC Might Win It All in 2028

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