With midterm elections around the corner, conspiracy theories have been planted to sow doubt in the results. On this week’s On the Media, a breakdown of what election rumors to expect on and after Election Day. Plus, how polling fraudsters are threatening trust in public opinion research.&nbsp;[00:00]&nbsp; Micah sits down with <a href="https://bsky.app/profile/katestarbird.bsky.social" rel="noopener noreferrer">Kate Starbird</a>, co-founder of the <a href="https://uwcip.substack.com/" rel="noopener noreferrer">Center for An Informed Public </a>at the University of Washington, to sort through the rumors swirling in the final week of midterm election campaigns.&nbsp;[16:16]&nbsp; Brooke chats with Mary Radcliffe, head of research at <a href="https://fiftyplusone.news/" rel="noopener noreferrer">Fifty Plus One</a>, about three fraudulent pollsters she helped catch this year, and how they muddy the waters for critical work that informs our democracy.&nbsp;[30:27]&nbsp; Brooke speaks with Koleman Strumpf, professor of economics at Wake Forest University, about the history of betting on elections and what lessons carry forward to today.&nbsp;&nbsp;Further reading / watching:<ul><li>“<a href="https://uwcip.substack.com/p/spot-the-lie-6-moves-of-rigged-election" rel="noopener noreferrer">Spot the Lie: 6 Moves of “Rigged Election” Rumors</a>,” by The Center for an Informed Public</li><li>“<a href="https://uwcip.substack.com/p/what-to-know-about-election-forecasting" rel="noopener noreferrer">What to Know About Election Forecasting and Prediction Markets This November,</a>” by The Center for an Informed Public</li><li><a href="https://uwcip.substack.com/p/a-tale-of-two-sullivans-rumors-around" rel="noopener noreferrer">“A Tale of Two Sullivans: Rumors Around a Department of Justice Lawsuit in Alaska,”</a> by&nbsp; The Center for an Informed Public</li><li>“<a href="https://substack.com/home/post/p-221400607" rel="noopener noreferrer">FiftyPlusOne just caught a pollster faking data — and they copped to it,</a>” by Mary Radcliffe, G. Elliott Morris, Cooper Burton, and FiftyPlusOne</li><li>“<a href="https://www.uvm.edu/~awoolf/classes/fall2004/election/Historical_Presidential_Betting_Markets.pdf" rel="noopener noreferrer">Historical Presidential Betting Markets</a>,” by Paul Rhode and Koleman Strumpf</li></ul>
On the Media is supported by listeners like you. Support OTM by donating today (<a href="https://pledge.wnyc.org/support/otm">https://pledge.wnyc.org/support/otm</a>). Follow our show on <a href="https://www.instagram.com/onthemedia/?hl=en">Instagram</a>, <a href="https://bsky.app/profile/onthemedia.bsky.social">Bluesky</a>, <a href="https://www.tiktok.com/@onthemedia">TikTok</a> and <a href="https://www.facebook.com/OnTheMedia">Facebook</a> @onthemedia, and share your thoughts with us by emailing onthemedia@wnyc.org. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See <a href="https://pcm.adswizz.com">pcm.adswizz.com</a> for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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