<img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" src="http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/ewlogofi.png" alt="EWFI" width="590" height="206" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-242076" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/ewlogofi.png 590w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/ewlogofi-300x105.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 590px) 100vw, 590px" />
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, please <a href="https://www.patreon.com/effectivelywild/membership" target="_blank">visit our Patreon</a>.
Ben Lindbergh and <a href="https://bsky.app/profile/benclemens.bsky.social" target="_blank">Ben Clemens</a> banter about some suspicious variability in the ball&#8217;s behavior and whether the low-drag, high-home-run-rate times of the late 2010s have returned, Carlos Mendoza&#8217;s &#8220;departure&#8221; from the Mets, the Blue Jays&#8217; dominance of &#8220;Phase 1&#8221; of All-Star voting, the hitters and pitchers who have most overperformed and underperformed their projections through the halfway point of the regular season, forsaking single-team fandom, platoon god <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/paul-goldschmidt/9218/stats/batting" target="_blank">Paul Goldschmidt</a>, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dalton-rushing/31382/stats/batting" target="_blank">Dalton Rushing</a>&#8217;s clash with <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/shohei-ohtani/19755/stats/batting" target="_blank">Shohei Ohtani</a>, the Pope&#8217;s audience with <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/aj-pierzynski/746/stats/batting" target="_blank">A.J. Pierzynski</a>, MLB&#8217;s economic proposals, and more, plus Stat Blasts about an unusual homestand and the Nationals&#8217; latest, not-so-greatest bullpen blowup(s).
Audio&nbsp;intro: Kite Person, &#8220;<a href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ShNIfvqdt84DII-pVYvCp32cIpVIP2V5/view?usp=drive_link" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Effectively Wild Theme</a>&#8221;
Audio&nbsp;outro: Ted O., &#8220;<a href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/1gbPLdUli8iCoR0VI_Een0wsDnkm_n8i2/view?usp=drive_link" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Effectively Wild Theme</a>&#8221;

<a href="https://ewstats.com/competitions/mlfad" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLFAD scoreboard</a>
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bouncing_ball_(music)" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to bouncing ball wiki</a>
<a href="https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/drag-dashboard" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Savant drag dashboard</a>
<a href="https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-ball-juiced-again-2026-data-mid-season-change" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to ball carry analysis</a>
<a href="https://bsky.app/profile/pobguy.bsky.social/post/3moxb7mab6c2x" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Nathan post 1</a>
<a href="https://bsky.app/profile/pobguy.bsky.social/post/3moxq4mr64s2l" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Nathan post 2</a>
<a href="https://bsky.app/profile/pobguy.bsky.social/post/3mowgvb2fqs25" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Nathan post 3</a>
<a href="https://bsky.app/profile/pobguy.bsky.social/post/3mp4rkgtxps2l" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Nathan post 4</a>
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&season=2026&season1=2026&ind=0&team=0%2Css&type=8&month=4" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to March/April scoring</a>
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&season=2026&season1=2026&ind=0&team=0%2Css&type=8&month=5" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to May scoring</a>
<a href="https://www.joesheehan.com/2026/06/newsletter-excerpt-june-1-2026-offense.html" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to story about May offense</a>
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&season=2026&season1=2026&ind=0&team=0%2Css&type=8&month=6" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to June scoring</a>
<a href="https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/mlb-buys-rawlings-seeking-more-control-over-baseball-production" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLB/Rawlings story</a>
<a href="https://sabr.org/journal/article/what-do-your-fans-want-attendance-correlations-with-performance-ticket-prices-and-payroll-factors/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to scoring/attendance research 1</a>
<a href="https://cupola.gettysburg.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1000&context=mathfac" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to scoring/attendance research 2</a>
<a href="https://thesportjournal.org/article/attendance-still-matters-in-mlb-the-relationship-with-winning-percentage/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to scoring/attendance research 3</a>
<a href="https://rpubs.com/johnsoni4/1126750" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to scoring/attendance research 4</a>
<a href="https://x.com/Mets/status/2070499918179864687" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Mets announcement tweet</a>
<a href="https://metsinsider.mlblogs.com/mets-announce-managerial-change-23512bcce9b4" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Mets announcement post</a>
<a href="https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/06/mets-fire-carlos-mendoza-manager.html" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLBTR on Mendoza</a>
<a href="https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/06/mets-will-move-andy-green-back-to-front-office-at-seasons-end.html" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLBTR on Green</a>
<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7398052/2026/06/26/mets-david-stearns-job-security/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Rosenthal on Mendoza/Stearns</a>
<a href="https://www.theringer.com/2026/01/28/mlb/the-rebuilt-new-york-mets-are-bucking-baseball-history" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Ben L. on team turnover</a>
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds/fg/mlb" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to FG playoff odds</a>
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/all-star-ballot-2026-finalists" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Phase 1 ASG voting results</a>
<a href="https://deadspin.com/did-mlb-rig-its-own-stupid-contest-1533322041/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Sogard contest post</a>
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to FG combined WAR leaderboard</a>
<a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2025-trade-value-nos-1-10/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to 2025 trade value series</a>
<a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/zips-midseason-movers-and-shakers-hitters-2/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Dan S. on batter ZiPS movers</a>
<a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/zips-midseason-movers-and-shakers-pitchers-2/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Dan S. on pitcher ZiPS movers</a>
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/projections?type=fangraphsdc&stats=bat&pos=&team=0&players=0&lg=all&z=1782474500&sortcol=&sortdir=desc&pageitems=30&statgroup=dashboard&fantasypreset=dashboard" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to batter preseason projections</a>
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/projections?type=onpacegpp&stats=bat&pos=&team=0&players=0&lg=all&z=1782474500&sortcol=&sortdir=desc&pageitems=30&statgroup=dashboard&fantasypreset=dashboard" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to batter pace leaders</a>
<a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ht91CU3f8m83e1nWkMFPAmQNiXd5CHWi0JJZ-mnqDbA/edit?gid=329643804#gid=329643804" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to batter paces vs. projections</a>
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/projections?type=fangraphsdc&stats=pit&pos=&team=0&players=0&lg=all&z=1782474500&sortcol=&sortdir=desc&pageitems=30&statgroup=dashboard&fantasypreset=dashboard" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to pitcher preseason projections</a>
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/projections?type=onpacegpp&stats=pit&pos=&team=0&players=0&lg=all&z=1782474500&sortcol=&sortdir=desc&pageitems=30&statgroup=dashboard&fantasypreset=dashboard" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to pitcher pace leaders</a>
<a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1x_J5J1ol7MgFXxdGzdOxKqSjmPuGCWY7zseZ98gdtXY/edit?gid=159949597#gid=159949597" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to pitcher paces vs. projections</a>
<a href="https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/06/cole-ragans-likely-to-undergo-elbow-surgery.html" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLBTR on Ragans</a>
<a href="https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/47759469/brian-cashman-aaron-boone-defend-yankees-roster-amid-lack-wholesale-changes" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Cashman on running back the roster</a>
<a href="https://www.sports-reference.com/stathead/sharing/KvBMr" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Goldschmidt tOPS+ query</a>
<a href="https://www.sports-reference.com/stathead/sharing/E8cit" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Goldschmidt sOPS+ query</a>
<a href="https://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/jaws_1B.shtml" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to 1B JAWS leaders</a>
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/analyzing-paul-goldschmidt-rebound-season-2026" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Petriello on Goldschmidt</a>
<a href="https://www.vivaelbirdos.com/authors/ben-clemens" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Other Ben&#8217;s VEB archive</a>
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/video/carter-jensen-homers-11-on-a-fly-ball-to-right-center-field-starling-mart" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Jensen HR off of Kimbrel</a>
<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eIO4wKj-N0k" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Rushing/Ohtani video</a>
<a href="https://dodgerblue.com/dalton-rushing-embarrassed-by-situation-with-shohei-ohtani/2026/06/25/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Rushing quotes</a>
<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cLDnzHdRLLk" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Rushing postgame video</a>
<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4d7GnXUYEvQ" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Ohtani postgame video</a>
<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0XNPfU4Up-o" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Roberts postgame video</a>
<a href="https://x.com/PitchingNinja/status/2069939324557070534" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to contested challenge clip</a>
<a href="https://x.com/ChadMoriyama/status/2069942165455970580" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to dugout conferences clip</a>
<a href="https://x.com/ReadyforTHEESHO/status/2069941500146851995" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to mound conference clip</a>
<a href="https://x.com/js9inningsmedia/status/2069941805861183722" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to costly missed catch</a>
<a href="https://x.com/TalkinBaseball_/status/2069956097322951039" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Rushing bench reaction</a>
<a href="https://x.com/noahcamras/status/2069959595355996355" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Ohtani&#8217;s Smith/Rushing splits</a>
<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7395505/2026/06/25/pope-leo-white-sox-world-series-ball-aj-pierzynski/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Rosenthal on Pope/Pierzynski</a>
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Papal_infallibility" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Papal infallibility wiki</a>
<a href="https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/49178178/mlb-wants-maximum-5-year-deals-free-agents-changing-teams" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLB proposals article</a>
<a href="https://x.com/EvanDrellich/status/2070230889330770245" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLB proposals tweet</a>
<a href="https://www.mlbplayers.com/press-releases/statement-on-today%E2%80%99s-bargaining-session" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLBPA response</a>
<a href="https://www.joesheehan.com/2026/06/newsletter-excerpt-june-10-2026-no.html" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to article on player aging</a>
<a href="https://tht.fangraphs.com/aging-curves-revisited-damn-strikeouts/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to aging curve research 1</a>
<a href="https://medium.com/@matan_k/no-sport-for-old-men-baseballs-changing-aging-curve-5158f09ca4d3" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to aging curve research 2</a>
<a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1q2XS1t4iBriC7fGrIDxWVeumNZXIhiy31G7D514NV1A/edit?usp=sharing" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to late homestands spreadsheet</a>
<a href="https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/108211/bsb-the-wrong-national-fireworks-show/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to BP on the Phillies comebacks</a>
<a href="https://bsky.app/profile/slangsonsports.bsky.social/post/3mp5uzge5kc25" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Langs on the Phillies comebacks</a>
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2026&season1=2026&ind=0&team=0%2Cts&rost=&age=&filter=&players=0&month=1000&stats=rel&startdate=2026-03-01&enddate=2026-06-25" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to 2026 team RP WAR</a>
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&ind=1&team=0%2Cts&rost=&age=&filter=&players=0&month=0&stats=rel&startdate=&enddate=&season1=1871&season=2026&sortcol=21&sortdir=asc&pagenum=1" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to worst-ever team RP WAR</a>
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/phillies-stage-stunning-comeback-beat-nationals" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Phillies comeback gamer</a>
<a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mogutasLWLYM3AaCSNzMdyiKkYVq8mwXlfU6IFnZ8go/edit?usp=sharing" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to last-strike-comebacks data</a>
<a href="https://quoteinvestigator.com/2017/03/23/same/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to non-Einstein quote investigation</a>
<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7392577/2026/06/25/washington-nationals-phillies-bullpen/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to The Athletic on the Nats&#8217; pen</a>
<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7396693/2026/06/26/nationals-phillies-bryce-harper-bullpen/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to The Athletic on the Nats&#8217; pen again</a>
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/jake-mccarthy-hits-walk-off-triple-to-beat-red-sox" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Rockies comeback gamer</a>
<a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/we-should-account-for-inherited-runners-better/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Other Ben on inherited runners</a>
<a href="https://effectivelywild.fandom.com/wiki/Episode_1852:_Roger,_Over_and_Out#Stat_Blast" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Stat Blast on inherited runners</a>
<a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1-8lpspHQuR5GK7S_nNtGunLGrx60QnSa8XLG_wvRb4Q/edit?usp=sharing" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to listener emails database</a>
<a href="https://scgcon.starcitygames.com/event/scg-con-las-vegas-2026/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to SCG Con</a>
<a href="https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/06/angels-fire-gm-perry-minasian-hire-john-mozeliak-as-interim-gm.html" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLBTR on Minasian/Mozeliak</a>
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/jacob-misiorowski-reaches-105-5-mph-against-cubs" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Miz 105.5 mph story</a>
<a href="https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfGT=R%7CPO%7C&hfSea=2026%7C2025%7C2024%7C2023%7C2022%7C2021%7C2020%7C2019%7C2018%7C2017%7C2016%7C2015%7C2014%7C2013%7C2012%7C2011%7C2010%7C2009%7C2008%7C&player_type=pitcher&metric_1=api_p_release_speed&metric_1_gt=105&group_by=name-event&min_pitches=0&min_results=0&min_pas=0&player_event_sort=api_p_release_speed&sort_order=desc&chk_event_release_speed=on#results" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to fastest tracked pitches</a>
<a href="https://x.com/JesseRogersESPN/status/2070710489215115512" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Miz postgame comment</a>
<a href="https://x.com/hunterbonair/status/2070710268888223997" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Miz postgame clip</a>

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Effectively Wild Episode 2497: Follow the Bouncing Ball

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