As we pass the fourth anniversary of Putin’s full-scale invasion, Patrick Bishop and Saul David explore whether the tide of the war is finally turning in Ukraine's favour. Following a winter of stasis, Ukrainian forces have reclaimed 400 square kilometres in mere weeks—outpacing Russia’s entire December gains.
In this episode, we dive into the factors driving this sudden shift:
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 <li>
The Starlink Effect: How Elon Musk’s decision to block Russian access has been exploited to the maximum by Ukrainian forces.
</li>
 <li>
The Personnel Crisis: With Russian casualties reaching a critical watershed, we discuss the "contract-niki" system and the ominous new legislation that could see Russian reservists deployed for "special tasks."
</li>
 <li>
Economic "Death Zone": We analyse the state of the Russian economy—where military spending is consuming the country faster than it can be repaired.
</li>
 <li>
The "Zero Line": A chilling look at a recent BBC documentary detailing Russian commanders executing their own men.
</li>
</ul>
In the second half, Patrick and Saul tackle listener questions from across Europe. We discuss the vulnerability of the Baltic states, the potential for a UK independent nuclear deterrent in a post-Trump NATO landscape, and a heated debate over the BBC’s controversial decision to scale back its Ukraine coverage.
If you have any thoughts or questions, you can send them to - podbattleground@gmail.com
Producer: James Hodgson
X (Twitter): @PodBattleground Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices">podcastchoices.com/adchoices</a>

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